Links:

• Winter 2011 Stove Top Report¹
• Winter 2011 Round by Round Results
• Senate Ballot Data
• Pres/VP Ballot Data

¹Note: The Stove Top Report (provided by Creative Media) counts Eli Yani as a seperate slate but I do not consider individuals as slates. If you treat him as an independent you get the following information:

• BOLD gained 64.2% of first round votes and 66.7% of the Senate seats.
• Independents gained 27.8% of the first round votes and 16.7% of the Senate seats.
• FUQ gained 8.0% of first round votes and 16.7% of the Senate seats.

There is obviously a noticeable difference between the number of votes for Independents and the number of seats they gained. There seems to be evidence to justify combining FUQ with the Independents based on where votes were transfered and doing so would make the vote/seat distribution look more even: 35.8% of first round votes, 33.3% of Senate seats. Some of the evidence follows below.

Miguel Espinoza (FUQ) moved from 8th place in the first round to 5th place in the last round mainly from the transfer votes of eliminated Independent candidates and his single slatemate. Miguel started the election with 181 first place votes and gained 261.563 votes during the election. Of those 261.563 votes, 66.4% of them came from the elimination of Independent candidates and 17% came from his slatemate. That means 83.4% of the votes he gained came without the help of BOLD voters. In fact, if you eliminate all of the transfer votes he gained from BOLD candidates being elected or eliminated, and put them in the exhausted pile instead, he still would have ended up in 5th place in the final round.

Below are the Independent and FUQ candidates in the order they were eliminated. You can see that early in the election the elimination of an Independent or FUQ candidate tended to favor other Independent or FUQ (aka, non-BOLD) candidates. However, as the rounds went on votes began to transfer more evenly between BOLD and non-BOLD candidates.

• Caitlin Alday sent 75% of her votes to non-BOLD candidates (49% went to slatemate Miguel Espinoza and 26% to the other non-BOLD candidates). Another 8% went into the exhausted pile.
• Edd Montelongo sent 60% of his votes to non-BOLD candidates and another 14% went into the exhausted pile.
• Arasele Torrez Jimenez sent 49% of her votes to non-BOLD candidates and another 27% went into the exhausted pile.
• Ryan Meyerhoff sent 39% of his votes to non-BOLD candidates and another 18% went into the exhausted pile.
• Anna Ruth Crittenden sent 25% of her votes to non-BOLD candidates and another 32% went into the exhausted pile.